Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000101 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000168 0.000186
2025-12-21 0.000085 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000161 0.000189 0.000222
2025-12-28 0.000073 0.000090 0.000110 0.000136 0.000168 0.000207 0.000257
2026-01-04 0.000065 0.000084 0.000107 0.000138 0.000178 0.000229 0.000299
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000138 0.000186 0.000249 0.000339
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000073 0.000099 0.000138 0.000192 0.000266 0.000378
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000068 0.000095 0.000137 0.000197 0.000283 0.000416
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000137 0.000203 0.000302 0.000459
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000135 0.000207 0.000316 0.000495
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000056 0.000086 0.000134 0.000211 0.000331 0.000536
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000217 0.000350 0.000582
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000133 0.000220 0.000363 0.000622
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000049 0.000081 0.000135 0.000229 0.000388 0.000684
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000135 0.000236 0.000410 0.000742
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000135 0.000240 0.000427 0.000793
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000249 0.000454 0.000867
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000137 0.000255 0.000476 0.000932
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000041 0.000073 0.000137 0.000260 0.000496 0.000994
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000264 0.000514 0.001055
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000136 0.000269 0.000535 0.001125
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000134 0.000271 0.000549 0.001181
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000034 0.000066 0.000133 0.000274 0.000568 0.001248
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000133 0.000280 0.000590 0.001326